How to Request an AI Prediction

Requesting an AI prediction takes less than a minute. Here's how.

Step-by-Step Guide

1. Open the AI Prediction Modal

From any prediction page on Eroteme, click Request AI Analysis. This opens the prediction request modal.

2. Choose an Event

Browse or search for an active prediction market. You can filter by category — sports, politics, crypto, entertainment, and more.

3. Choose Your Tier

Standard gives you a quick, single-perspective analysis from one AI model. Good for straightforward markets.

Eroteme runs the full pipeline — 4 research agents gather real-time data, 4 analysis agents argue bull/bear/evidence/contrarian perspectives, and a meta-judge synthesises everything into a calibrated probability. Best for high-stakes or complex markets.

4. Review the Fee and Confirm

The modal shows the analysis fee in USDC. Review and confirm. Remember: if the AI prediction turns out to be wrong, you can claim a refund.

5. Watch the Pipeline Run

Once confirmed, the AI agents begin analysing the event. For Eroteme tier, you can watch the two-layer pipeline progress:

Research Layer (parallel):

• Perplexity gathering latest news
• Grok analysing social sentiment
• Gemini pulling data and statistics
• Claude computing base rates

Analysis Layer (parallel, after research completes):

• Claude building bull case
• ChatGPT building bear case
• Gemini synthesising evidence
• Grok finding contrarian angles

Meta-Judge (final):

• Claude with Extended Thinking synthesises all 8 outputs

For Standard tier, a single model runs and returns its analysis.

6. Review the Output

When the pipeline completes, you see the full results:

• Probability — A calibrated percentage (0–100%) for the outcome
• Confidence interval — Uncertainty bounds around the probability
• Disagreement score — How much the agents diverge (Eroteme only)
• Per-agent breakdown — Each agent's probability, confidence, and reasoning (Eroteme only)
• Key factors — The main drivers behind the prediction
• What could be wrong — The biggest risk to the estimate

See Understanding the AI Output for a detailed explanation of each component.

7. Publish as a Live Prediction

Once you're satisfied with the analysis, publish it as a live prediction on the platform. Other users can then view the analysis, see the per-agent breakdown, and bet on the outcome.